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How To Win Wagering On Baseball

How to win wagering on baseball

It is not shocking that baseball does not get as much betting action from sports such as football or basketball, but that does not mean it should be overlooked. You can take advantage and even boost your bankroll prior to the start of the more popular football season if you know what you’re doing.

RUNLINES

To bet the runline means to either “give” or “take” a point and a half (1 1/2) to the team you pick.

For example, if you wanted to take a wager on the Yankees as a –250 favorite, but were a little uneasy to pay the a, you could bet New York on the runline. To win your wager, the Yankees would have to win by two runs. The –250 moneyline price would most likely look more like –150 on the runline, thus minimizing your losses.

Of course you’ve also increased the risk with the chance of a one-run final.

Also remember that as you can lay the 1 1/2-runs for the favorite, you can also take them and play the underdog. To win this bet the underdog must either win, or at least stay within one run. However, in this situtation, you pay a higher price for the points and in many cases there isn’t much value to be found.

MONEYLINES

Perhaps the most obvious difference between betting baseball, as compared to football, or hoops is that you are required to do so on the moneyline (ML), as opposed to playing teams against the point spread (ATS). Basically you are just picking the winner and the price you pay is adjusted depending upon who is the favorite, or underdog.

There’s an age old baseball handicapping saying that reminds us that even if a team has a spectacular season and wins 100 games, they would still lose 62 games. That means even the Yankees, Red Sox, and Cardinals of the MLB circuit will lose approximately 38–percent of their games, despite being asked to eat big odds on a consistent basis.

Now that doesn’t mean that you don’t take the best teams each time they play, but it does mean that in most cases there is not much value in playing the fan favorites. Not to mention that these top teams are quite capable of having long winning streaks.

TOTALS

Of course there’s more to baseball then just picking which team is going to win. Betting totals can prove to be both entertaining and profitable. Playing totals is the same as in every other sport, and therefore the rookie bettor may find this the most comfortable way to go.

In most cases you can bet totals at –110 or even less if you look around. If nothing else, that fact alone should be proof enough that baseball totals should not be overlooked.

In many instances you may have a good feel for how a game is going to play out, without necessarily knowing who’s going to wind up the victor. If this is the case, try making a play on the total.

SHOPPING YOUR NUMBERS

When wagering on any sport, besides winning, money management and shopping for value stay the most important factor. It takes discipline and is one area where many people fail. Remember a baseball season may see you make upwards of 200-300 wagers, and with that size of a sample you can get ‘juiced’ quite easily

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Posted in Baseball · August 10th, 2010 · Comments (0)

Streaking And Slumping Pitchers

mlb picks Notes

Tommy Hunter (5-0, 1.98) Rangers

Tommy Hunter is 5-0 on the season and the young righty was having one of his best performance of the season before settling for a no-decision against the Baltimore Orioles in his last start.

Hunter struck out a season-high seven batters to only one walk but gave up a pair of runs in the seventh before giving it over to the bullpen. He threw seven-plus innings of one-run game against the White Sox in his previous outing on July 3, an outing more indicative of his season so far.

“He’s pounding the strike zone, not making mistakes in the middle of the plate and executing his pitches,” Rangers manager Ron Washington said. “When you do that, you get the results he’s getting. Right now he’s executing very well. He’s throwing strikes, keeping the ball in the field of play. He’s doing everything we’d like to see a pitcher do.”

Dave Bush (4-6, 4.14) Milwaukee Brewers

Since getting pushed around for seven earned runs in only 1/3 of an inning against the Twins six weeks ago, Dave Bush has put together six great starts.

Bush is 3-1 with a 3.37 ERA during that span and his last no-decision was as good as any of his wins, allowing only one run and five hits against the Giants.

“The last month or so, I’ve had good command and quite honestly, I’m just feeling stronger,” Dave Bush told mlb.com. “I feel like I’ve kind of gotten back to the point where I was before I got hurt.”

Not so hot Pitchers

R.A. Dickey (6-2, 2.77) Mets

Robert Dickey was a hot 6-0 until two weeks ago, but both the Atlanta Braves and Marlins used one huge inning to beat the knuckleballer just before the All-Star break.

Robert Dickey is 0-2 in his last three starts, allowing 20 hits and eight earned runs in those 18 2/3 innings. The Florida Marlins chased him after five innings and unearned runs and the Atlanta Braves hammered a couple of homers in the seventh, the first of which snapped Dickey’s homerless streak at 45 1/3 innings.

“Dickey was tough. I don’t think we hit a ball hard until we hit the home runs,” Braves manager Bobby Cox said. “He’s legit. He knows where the fastball is going every time. It’s in or out. It’s never down the middle.”

With the San Francisco getting their first look at Dickey, don’t read too much into his recent slump. The Giants are hitting just .247 against righties (compared to .315 against lefties) in their last 10.

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Posted in Baseball · July 19th, 2010 · Comments (0)

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